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Key Takeaways

Success Rate:66%
Difficulty:Intermediate
R:R Ratio:1:1.5
Timeframe:M15
šŸ“

Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion

Range TradingIntermediate

Uses Bollinger Bands to identify when price has moved too far from its average, entering trades expecting price to revert to the mean (middle band).

Market Psychology

Bollinger Bands measure volatility and price deviation. When price touches the outer bands, it has statistically moved 2 standard deviations from average, often creating mean reversion opportunities.

šŸ“ˆStrategy Visualization

Price touches lower band then reverses to middle

SignalEntrySLTP
Upper Band
Middle Band
Lower Band

In-Depth Strategy Guide

Bollinger Bands are a volatility indicator consisting of a middle band (usually a 20-period SMA) and two outer bands set at 2 standard deviations above and below. The bands automatically widen during volatile periods and contract during calm markets.

Mean reversion with Bollinger Bands works because price statistically spends most time near the mean. When price touches an outer band, it has moved 2 standard deviations from average - a statistically significant move that often reverses.

The Bollinger Band Squeeze is one of the most powerful setups. When bands narrow to their tightest in 6+ months, a large move is coming. Traders position for breakouts when the squeeze releases.

Walking the bands occurs in strong trends when price repeatedly touches or exceeds one band. This is NOT a reversal signal - the trend is strong. Only trade mean reversion in ranging, oscillating markets.

Code Examples

pythonPython Bollinger Bands
import pandas as pd

def bollinger_bands(df, period=20, std_dev=2):
    df['bb_middle'] = df['close'].rolling(period).mean()
    df['bb_std'] = df['close'].rolling(period).std()
    df['bb_upper'] = df['bb_middle'] + (df['bb_std'] * std_dev)
    df['bb_lower'] = df['bb_middle'] - (df['bb_std'] * std_dev)
    df['bb_width'] = (df['bb_upper'] - df['bb_lower']) / df['bb_middle']
    
    # Mean reversion signals
    df['bb_signal'] = 0
    df.loc[df['close'] < df['bb_lower'], 'bb_signal'] = 1
    df.loc[df['close'] > df['bb_upper'], 'bb_signal'] = -1
    return df

This function calculates Bollinger Bands and generates mean reversion signals when price touches the outer bands.

mql5MQL5 Bollinger Band Signal
int CheckBollingerSignal()
{
    double upper = iBands(_Symbol, PERIOD_H1, 20, 0, 2, PRICE_CLOSE, MODE_UPPER);
    double lower = iBands(_Symbol, PERIOD_H1, 20, 0, 2, PRICE_CLOSE, MODE_LOWER);
    double close = Close[0];
    
    if(close < lower) return 1;   // Buy at lower band
    if(close > upper) return -1;  // Sell at upper band
    return 0;
}

This MQL5 function returns buy/sell signals when price touches Bollinger Band extremes.

Related Indicators

šŸ“„ Entry Rules

1

Wait for price to touch or pierce the outer band

2

Look for rejection candlestick pattern

3

Confirm RSI is in overbought/oversold territory

4

Enter on reversal candle close back inside the bands

šŸ“¤ Exit Rules

1

Primary target is the middle band (20 SMA)

2

Second target is the opposite band

3

Exit if momentum continues beyond bands

4

Use the middle band as trailing stop reference

šŸ›”ļø Risk Management

Band Width

Narrow bands = low volatility, potential breakout ahead

Stop Loss

Place stops beyond the band extreme with ATR buffer

Trend Awareness

Price can walk the bands in strong trends

Indicators Used

Bollinger Bands (20, 2)

Primary tool for mean reversion signals

RSI

Confirm overbought/oversold at band touches

Volume

Identify exhaustion vs continuation

Best Timeframes

M15H1H4

Best Market Conditions

Range-bound markets with regular oscillation
After band squeeze (low volatility)
Stable volatility environments

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Fading strong trends that walk the bands
Entering without reversal confirmation
Ignoring band squeeze warnings
Using bands alone without other confirmation

Pro Tips

šŸ’”Watch for band squeeze (narrowing) as precursor to big moves
šŸ’”Double bottom/top at bands increases reversal probability
šŸ’”Middle band acts as dynamic support/resistance
šŸ’”Adjust settings (20, 2.5) for less frequent but stronger signals
Last updated: December 29, 2024

Educational Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading involves significant risk and you may lose your capital. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions